Three-Run Ninth Falls One Short: KC 6, STL 5

STL  1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 -- 5
KC   0 0 0 4 1 1 0 0 0 -- 6

A four-run Kansas City fourth -- RBI singles from Caglianone and Massey followed by Collins's two-run double -- erased an early 2-0 STL lead, and a three-run ninth (Winn RBI double, Blaze Jordan two-run single) came up one short. McGreevy took the loss after 5.0 IP and 5 ER on 8 hits. Walker (2-for-3, 1 RBI) and Blaze Jordan (1-for-4, 2 RBI) led the offense; Caglianone (2-for-4, HR, 2 RBI) did the headline damage for KC.

PREDICTION GRADES

CORRECT -- Lugo walk volume: Lugo issued 3 BB in 6.0 IP. Threshold: 3+. 3 >= 3.

CORRECT -- Cardinals late-inning scoring: STL scored 3 runs in the ninth (innings 7-9 total: 3). Threshold: 2+. 3 >= 2.

INCONCLUSIVE -- Witt reaches base: Bobby Witt did not appear in the Kansas City lineup; prediction rolled over from a prior report.

WRONG -- McGreevy K total: McGreevy recorded 2 K in 5.0 IP. Needed 4+. 2 < 4.

WRONG -- Cardinals K total: Cardinals batters combined for 1 K (Winn). Threshold: 7+. 1 < 7.

Hit rate: 2/4 (50%) -- inconclusive predictions excluded from denominator.