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BOTTOM LINE
Edge: Singer lands at Busch with a 6.18 ERA, 1.69 WHIP, and 16 HR allowed in 51.0 IP this season. The Cardinals' four left-handed bats sit in his weak side -- Singer's 2025 vs LHB line is .250/.330/.460 with 15 HR allowed in 404 PA. Burleson owns the head-to-head at 3-for-7 with a HR (.429 AVG, 1.143 SLG, 8 PA career).
Threat: Eugenio Suárez. The Reds DH carries a .546 SLG and 39 HR vs RHP in 2025 (514 PA) and is 1-for-3 with a walk vs Leahy in the career sample. Noelvi Marte adds a .275 / .516 SLG line vs RHP in 2025 with 13 HR -- two right-handed bats with the power to flip an inning on one swing. Watch: Leahy's home/away inverse. Career 4.47 ERA at home in 44.1 IP versus 2.68 on the road in 43.2 IP -- a substantial home/road gap. His 2025 sample beyond the first pass through the order is only 8 PA, so innings 1-3 are the ceiling and the bullpen handoff is the live decision point. | ||||||
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KEY MATCHUPS
Burleson vs Singer. 3-for-7 with a HR in their career BvP (.429 AVG, 1.143 SLG, 8 PA). Burleson hits .296 vs RHP in 2025 across 419 PA with 15 HR. He bats third and projects to see Singer 2-3 times tonight -- the most repeatable Cardinals edge on the card.
Suarez vs Leahy. 1-for-3 with a walk in the career BvP sample. Suarez's 2025 vs RHP line is .247/.311/.546 with 39 HR in 514 PA -- the loudest power threat in this matchup. Leahy's 2025 vs RHB line (.589 OPS, 200 PA) suggests the profile holds; Suarez is the exception swing.
Walker vs Singer. 0-for-7 with 4 K in their career BvP. Walker's 2025 vs RHP line is .200/.263/.291 with a 31.8% K rate (396 PA). Singer's 2025 edge vs RHB (.222 AVG, .626 OPS, 312 PA) lines up with the Cardinals' cleanup hitter -- this is the at-bat Singer can attack.
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WATCHLIST
-- Leahy first pass through the order (355 PA in 2025). .247 AVG / .341 SLG / .645 OPS -- innings 1-3 are his strength. His second-pass sample is only 8 PA, so the bullpen handoff is where the leverage shifts.
-- Romero vs Graceffo bullpen fork. Romero has stranded 23 of 26 inherited runners (88.5%); Graceffo has stranded 6 of 11 (54.5%). Which arm enters with traffic will swing a tight middle inning.
-- Singer's road profile. 2025 road ERA 4.65 across 79.1 IP with 9 HR allowed. Four Cardinals LHB plus a fly-ball-tilted Gorman (41.7% FB in 2025) give Singer real long-ball exposure tonight.
-- Myers and McLain on the bases. Myers is 18-for-23 (78.3%) and McLain is 18-for-20 (90.0%) in career SB attempts. Both project to be in tonight's Reds lineup -- early-inning running game is on the table.
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Singer's 6.18 ERA Meets a Lefty-Heavy Cardinals Lineup at Busch
Jun 5, 2026
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2 min read