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YESTERDAY'S RESULT--MIL 0, STL 0
MIL -- 0
STL -- 0
Yesterday's game logs as MIL 0, STL 0 with no innings recorded, no scoring plays, and empty batting and pitching lines for both clubs. Treat the result as a no-play day -- nothing in the box score is gradable, and tonight's matchup carries the full series weight with MIL leading 1-0.
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PREDICTION GRADES
INCONCLUSIVE -- MIL TTO2 scoring: opponent batting and scoring-play arrays are empty for yesterday's game; no inning data exists to evaluate runs in innings 4-6.
INCONCLUSIVE -- Pallante walk total: Andre Pallante does not appear in cardinals_pitching for yesterday's game; the pitching line is empty. INCONCLUSIVE -- Turang reaches base: Brice Turang does not appear in opponent_batting for yesterday's game; the batting line is empty. INCONCLUSIVE -- STL K total vs Sproat staff: cardinals_batting is empty for yesterday's game; no Cardinals batters recorded plate appearances. INCONCLUSIVE -- Sproat HR allowed: Brandon Sproat does not appear in opponent_pitching for yesterday's game; the pitching line is empty. Hit rate: 0/0 -- inconclusive predictions excluded from denominator. | ||||||
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BOTTOM LINE
Edge: Sproat is HR-prone -- 7 HR allowed in 26.2 IP behind a 6.75 ERA. The Cardinals' 2025 vs RHP power is led by Burleson (15 HR), Herrera (10 HR), Gorman (9 HR), and Pages (9 HR), and a homer-leaking right-hander is the right matchup to bring all four into play this afternoon.
Threat: Jackson Chourio is 3-for-5 with 5 BB and a 1.000 SLG in 11 PA against Pallante career. Even with that walk total inflating the OBP (.727), the hits include extra-base damage. He is the one Brewers bat with a real prior history against today's starter and the loudest signal in the BvP table. Watch: Pallante's second pass through the order. His 2025 TTO2 line is .309 / .487 / .796 in 270 PA -- a clear step up from TTO1 (.266 / .393 / .659). Pair that with a 5.42 home ERA against a 4.89 road number, and innings 4-6 at Busch are where this game tilts. | ||||||
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KEY MATCHUPS
Jackson Chourio vs Pallante. 11 PA, .600 / .727 / 1.000, with 5 BB and 1 K. Pallante has not found a way to get him out -- and Chourio's 2025 platoon line vs RHP (.249 / .283 / .435 in 464 PA) shows the SLG plays. He is the Brewers' primary offensive lever today.
Brice Turang vs Pallante. 13 PA, .385 / .385 / .462. No walks, one strikeout -- Turang has put the bat on the ball every time and run a hit rate well above his 2025 platoon AVG (.274 vs RHP). Add 24 SB on 32 attempts in 2025 and he is the lead-off problem the battery has to solve early.
Cardinals power vs Sproat. Sproat has surrendered 7 HR in 26.2 IP this year and 0 in 22 career PA against this lineup's archetype -- but his 2025 reverse-platoon (.282 / .436 vs LHB; .200 / .257 vs RHB) is the wrinkle. Cardinals start 5 LHB (Wetherholt, Burleson, Gorman, Church, Scott), so Sproat's tougher side faces him only four times per turn.
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WATCHLIST
-- Pallante TTO2 window (270 PA in 2025). .309 / .487 / .796 on the second pass through the order. If he is still in the game in the fifth or sixth, expect MIL to find barrels.
-- Sproat TTO2 cliff (35 PA in 2025). .290 / .516 / .806 second time through the order, after holding TTO1 to .100 / .100 / .200 in 36 PA. The Cardinals' second turn is where Sproat's command thins and the lineup's middle gets a second look.
-- MIL running game. Turang 24 SB / 75% success, Hamilton 22 / 78.6%, Chourio 21 / 75%, Frelick 19 / 76% in 2025. With Pages (.257 catcher AVG over 76.1 IP this season) behind the plate, the Brewers will probe early.
-- Bullpen split. Romero 88.5% strand on 26 IR vs Svanson 50.0% on 26 IR in 2025. Which arm enters with runners on swings the middle innings.
-- STL strikeout risk. Gorman 33.8% K%, Walker 31.8%, Church 27.7%, Pages 27.5% in 2025. Sproat's 20.2% K% is enough to put crooked numbers in the K column if Cardinals chase early.
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Pallante's TTO2 Cliff: How Innings 4-6 Decide Cardinals-Brewers
May 6, 2026
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5 min read