Ninth-Inning Error Undoes Sixth-Inning Rally: Cards Drop Finale 4-3, Still Take Series

ATL  0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 -- 4
STL  1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 -- 3

A ninth-inning throwing error by Winn let Albies come home with the go-ahead run, breaking a 3-3 tie and handing Atlanta the finale. Cardinals had climbed back from a 3-1 deficit in the sixth when Fermin's two-run single scored Walker and Nootbaar, after Burleson's first-inning RBI double had staked May to an early edge. May allowed 2 ER over 4.0 IP (4 K, 4 BB); Burleson (1-for-3, RBI, BB) and Fermin (1-for-4, 2 RBI) drove the offense. Cardinals still take the series 2-of-3.

PREDICTION GRADES

WRONG -- Riley reaches base: Riley went 0-for-3 with 1 BB (1 reach). Threshold: 2+. 1 < 2.

WRONG -- Ritchie walks: Ritchie issued 2 BB in 4.1 IP. Threshold: 3+. 2 < 3.

CORRECT -- Braves TTO2/TTO3 scoring: Atlanta plated 2 runs in innings 4-6 (1 in the 4th, 1 in the 6th). Threshold: 2+. 2 >= 2.

CORRECT -- Burleson reaches base: Burleson went 1-for-3 with 1 BB (2 reaches). Threshold: 1+. 2 >= 1.

WRONG -- May strikeouts: May posted 4 K in 4.0 IP. Threshold: 6+. 4 < 6.

Hit rate: 2/5 (40%)