| ||||||
|
YESTERDAY'S RESULT -- MIL 5, STL 1
STL 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -- 1
MIL 3 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -- 5
Misiorowski authored the night: 7.0 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 12 K against a Cardinals lineup that managed only singles from Wetherholt and Pagés. Yelich's 2-run homer (his 4th) capped a 3-run Brewers first inning off Liberatore, and Vaughn's 7th-inning ground-rule double off Mautz pushed the lead out of reach. Series: MIL leads 1-0.
| ||||||
|
PREDICTION GRADES
CORRECT -- Misiorowski K total: Misiorowski struck out 12 in 7.0 IP. Threshold: 8+. 12 >= 8.
CORRECT -- Cardinals K total: Cardinals batters combined for 13 K (Wetherholt 1, Herrera 3, Burleson 1, Walker 1, Gorman 3, Winn 1, Torres 1, Pages 1, Scott 1, Fermin 0). Threshold: 10+. 13 >= 10. WRONG -- Walker reaches base: Walker went 0-for-3 with 0 BB. H + BB = 0 reaches. Threshold: 2+. 0 < 2. CORRECT -- Liberatore walk total: Liberatore issued 2 BB in 5.0 IP. Threshold: 2+. 2 >= 2. CORRECT -- MIL run total: Brewers scored 5 runs. Threshold: 4+. 5 >= 4. Hit rate: 4/5 (80%) | ||||||
|
BOTTOM LINE
Edge: McGreevy's command profile is the cleanest weapon on the field tonight: 2.40 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 5.5% BB%, 53.2% GB% over 56.1 IP and 10 starts. A Brewers lineup that walked twice and struck out 8 times against Liberatore yesterday now gets a sinker-baller who walks even fewer batters and keeps the ball on the ground.
Threat: Harrison's 32.2% K%, 1.77 ERA, and 1.07 WHIP against a Cardinals lineup that just struck out 13 times. Four LHB (Wetherholt, Burleson, Gorman, Church) face the lefty -- platoon disadvantage stacked on top of a strikeout arm. Watch: Harrison's workload. 45.2 IP across 9 starts is roughly 5 innings per outing, meaning the Brewers bullpen likely covers the final third tonight. The Cardinals' best window for offense is the second pass through the order and the handoff to relief. | ||||||
|
KEY MATCHUPS
Jordan Walker vs Harrison. Walker carries the lineup's best 2026 RISP line (.306 / 1.026 OPS, 73 PA) and is the only right-handed power threat in the top five. With four LHB sandwiched around him, he is the at-bat the Brewers cannot work around -- Harrison either retires him or pitches around him into a softer slot.
McGreevy vs Yelich. Yelich went 2-for-4 with a homer and a .308 RISP line last night against Liberatore. He sees a right-hander tonight, but his 2026 RISP .308 / .357 / .462 mark (28 PA) and last night's contact say he is the one swing the Cardinals cannot give back.
McGreevy vs Bauers/Turang/Mitchell. The Brewers' three best 2026 RISP bats (Bauers 1.115, Turang 1.092, Mitchell 1.012) are all left-handed. McGreevy's 53.2% GB% has to translate against LHB or the Brewers will keep pushing innings open.
| ||||||
|
WATCHLIST
-- Harrison K rate. 32.2% K% over 45.2 IP. The Cardinals just struck out 13 times in a single game. A repeat punchout night is the most likely failure mode.
-- Wetherholt vs LHP. Top of the order is the only LHB the Cardinals cannot move. His .324 / .449 / .459 RISP line is the offense's anchor, but the platoon side is unfavorable -- watch whether the contact profile holds against a strikeout lefty.
-- Brewers bullpen handoff. Harrison averages roughly five innings per start. The middle innings likely fall to the Brewers' setup arms -- that is the Cardinals' realistic scoring window if the starter blanks them.
-- Series stakes. Brewers lead the series 1-0 and the division by 2.5 games. A loss tonight clinches the series for Milwaukee and pushes the gap to 3.5.
|
Harrison's 32% K Rate Meets a Cardinals Lineup That Just Whiffed 13 Times
May 26, 2026
•
2 min read